Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.