Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for UD Logrones had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest UD Logrones win was 1-0 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cartagena in this match.
