Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
