Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for UD Logrones in this match.