Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
