SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Real Sociedad B |
| 38.81% | 27.52% | 33.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% | 56.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% | 77.58% |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.9% | 64.11% |
| Real Sociedad B Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% | 31.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.06% | 67.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Real Sociedad B |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.67% |
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