Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.