SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad B would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Real Sociedad B |
| 33.85% | 29.7% | 36.45% |
| Both teams to score 42.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% | 83.32% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% | 35.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.84% | 72.15% |
| Real Sociedad B Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.71% | 70.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Real Sociedad B |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.1% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.9% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 12.97% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.45% |
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