Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad B would win this match.
