Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.