Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.