Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
