Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 35.8%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 31.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.05%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (14.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
