Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 35.98%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.