Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
