Burgos
1 - 0
Ponferradina

Valcarce (16')
Valcarce (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moran (43')
Rodriguez (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 34.95%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (13.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Ponferradina
33.49%	31.56%	34.95%

Both teams to score 38.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.32%

69.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.98%

87.03%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29%

38.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55%

75.45%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34%

37.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57%

74.43%

Score Analysis

Burgos 33.48%

Ponferradina 34.95%

Draw 31.55%

Burgos	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.58% Total : 33.48%	0-0 @ 14.57% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.55%	0-1 @ 14.23% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.74% Total : 34.95%