Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.12%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Levante had a probability of 30.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.14) 
