Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.05) 
