Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Burgos
49.65% ( -0.09)	28.39% ( 0.01)	21.96% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 39.81% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.26% (

0.02)

64.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.29% (

0.02)

83.71% (

-0.02)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.03)

26.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.04)

61.68% (

0.04)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.16% (

0.09)

45.83% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.4% (

0.07)

81.59% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 49.64%

Burgos 21.96%

Draw 28.38%

Cartagena	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 16.12% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.64%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.96%