Segunda Division | Gameweek 37
Apr 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Sporting Gijon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result |
| Cartagena | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
37.43% ( 0.01) | 29.73% ( -0.01) | 32.84% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( 0.02) |
| 35.63% ( 0.02) | 64.36% ( -0.02) |
| 16.55% ( 0.01) | 83.44% ( -0.01) |
| 66.91% ( 0.02) | 33.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.01) | 69.68% ( -0.01) |
| 63.8% ( 0.01) | 36.2% ( -0.01) |
