SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Cartagena |
47.55% ( -0.05) | 27.8% ( 0.05) | 24.64% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.86% ( -0.18) | 61.14% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.9% ( -0.14) | 81.09% ( 0.13) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( -0.11) | 25.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( -0.15) | 60.82% ( 0.14) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.11) | 41.09% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.36% ( -0.09) | 77.63% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.64% |
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