Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.