SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 44.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Cartagena |
44.02% ( 0.55) | 28.94% ( 0.14) | 27.03% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 42.52% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.74) | 63.5% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.17% ( -0.53) | 82.83% ( 0.53) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.06) | 28.79% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.07) | 64.63% ( 0.07) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( -1.01) | 40.3% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.08% ( -0.93) | 76.92% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.34% Total : 27.03% |
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