SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Amorebieta |
46% ( 0.49) | 26.87% ( -0.08) | 27.12% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.53% ( 0.08) | 56.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( 0.06) | 77.48% ( -0.06) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.27) | 24.51% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.38) | 58.97% ( -0.38) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.29) | 36.32% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( -0.29) | 73.1% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.12% |
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