Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Amorebieta
46% ( 0.49)	26.87% ( -0.08)	27.12% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.53% (

0.08)

56.48% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53% (

0.06)

77.48% (

-0.06)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.27)

24.51% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.38)

58.97% (

-0.38)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.29)

36.32% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.29)

73.1% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 46%

Amorebieta 27.12%

Draw 26.87%

Cartagena	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.12%