Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.