SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Cartagena |
45.96% ( 1.59) | 28.66% ( 0.21) | 25.38% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 42.11% ( -1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.57% ( -1.55) | 63.43% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.22% ( -1.12) | 82.78% ( 1.13) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.09) | 27.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( 0.12) | 63.29% ( -0.12) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( -2.46) | 41.72% ( 2.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( -2.23) | 78.19% ( 2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.58)2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.64)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.38% |
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