SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Cartagena |
52.6% ( 0.73) | 26.76% ( -0.24) | 20.64% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 42.18% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.16% ( 0.33) | 60.84% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.12% ( 0.25) | 80.88% ( -0.24) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.47) | 23.37% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( 0.67) | 57.34% ( -0.67) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.05% ( -0.33) | 44.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.11% ( -0.27) | 80.89% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.44% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.64% |
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