Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
0.73) 
-0.24) 
