Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (13.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
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