Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
