Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.