Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 35.92%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 31.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.6%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (13.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.