SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Villarreal II |
60.33% ( -0.79) | 22.99% ( 0.41) | 16.68% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( -0.99) | 52.43% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( -0.86) | 74.11% ( 0.86) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( -0.62) | 17.02% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.85% ( -1.11) | 47.15% ( 1.11) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% ( -0.1) | 44.68% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.32% ( -0.08) | 80.68% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.68% |
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