SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (12.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Cartagena |
35.09% ( 0.18) | 30.01% ( 0.17) | 34.9% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 42.12% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.54) | 65.12% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.02% ( -0.38) | 83.98% ( 0.38) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.17) | 35.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( -0.18) | 71.78% ( 0.17) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.53) | 35.16% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.56) | 71.91% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.99% | 0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.15% Total : 34.9% |
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