SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Eibar |
39.89% ( -0.22) | 28.41% ( 0.04) | 31.7% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 45.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.79% ( -0.1) | 60.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.6% ( -0.07) | 80.4% ( 0.07) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.17) | 29.49% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% ( -0.21) | 65.5% ( 0.21) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.08) | 34.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.08) | 71.51% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.88% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.7% |
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