SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Villarreal II |
51.54% ( -0.56) | 26.41% ( -0.04) | 22.05% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% ( 0.65) | 58.45% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% ( 0.51) | 79.04% ( -0.51) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( 0.03) | 22.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( 0.05) | 56.53% ( -0.05) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.99) | 42.07% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.51% ( 0.85) | 78.49% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.05% |
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