Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 34.47%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.83%) and 1-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (13.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.
