Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 1-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (12.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
