SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 1-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (12.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 31.24% | 31.08% | 37.68% |
| Both teams to score 39.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.43% | 68.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.69% | 86.31% |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% | 39.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.56% | 76.43% |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% | 35.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.43% Total : 31.23% | 0-0 @ 13.99% 1-1 @ 13.47% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.07% | 0-1 @ 14.61% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.68% |
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