Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.