SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Eibar |
43% ( 0.16) | 28.31% ( -0) | 28.69% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.04) | 60.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( -0.03) | 80.81% ( 0.03) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( 0.07) | 28.01% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( 0.08) | 63.66% ( -0.09) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( -0.15) | 37.38% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.83% ( -0.15) | 74.16% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.68% |
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