Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 35.71%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.92%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
