Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.