Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.25) 
