SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
50.78% ( -0.04) | 27.12% ( 0.06) | 22.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.95% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.2) | 60.77% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( -0.15) | 80.82% ( 0.15) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.1) | 24.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( -0.15) | 58.48% ( 0.15) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( -0.13) | 43.36% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.41% ( -0.11) | 79.6% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 22.1% |
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