Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Elche had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
-0.4) 
0.1) 
