Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 20.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Villarreal II
54.12% ( -0.15)	25.16% ( 0.04)	20.72% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.68% (

-0.03)

55.32% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-0.02)

76.53% (

0.02)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

-0.07)

20.44% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.11% (

-0.12)

52.89% (

0.12)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35% (

0.11)

41.65% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87% (

0.09)

78.13% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 54.11%

Villarreal II 20.72%

Draw 25.15%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.11%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.72%