Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Eldense win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.
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