Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.43) 
-0.15) 
