Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.54%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
1.04) 
-1.2) 
