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Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
6 - 0
Amorebieta

de la Fuente (21', 25', 50'), Garcia (73'), Raba (82'), Chicco (90+3')
Chicco (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Magunagoitia (50'), Nunez (69')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Leganes and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-2 Eibar
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.54%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
LeganesDrawAmorebieta
45.23% (1.035 1.04) 30.03% (0.159 0.16) 24.74% (-1.196 -1.2)
Both teams to score 38.5% (-1.155 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.3% (-0.994 -0.99)67.69% (0.991 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.27% (-0.668 -0.67)85.73% (0.666 0.67)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (0.060000000000002 0.06)30.22% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.073 0.07)66.38% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.17% (-1.705 -1.71)44.82% (1.701 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (-1.399 -1.4)80.79% (1.395 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Leganes 45.23%
    Amorebieta 24.74%
    Draw 30.02%
LeganesDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.382 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 45.23%
0-0 @ 13.54% (0.49 0.49)
1-1 @ 13% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 30.02%
0-1 @ 10.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Leganes
Wednesday, October 4 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-1 Racing
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 1-3 Leganes
Sunday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Leganes
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 2-0 Huesca
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-2 Eibar
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-0 Amorebieta
Thursday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-0 Cartagena
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 3-1 Amorebieta
Sunday, September 24 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 2-0 Mirandes
Sunday, September 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Amorebieta
Sunday, September 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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