Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.54%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Amorebieta |
45.23% ( 1.04) | 30.03% ( 0.16) | 24.74% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 38.5% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.3% ( -0.99) | 67.69% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.27% ( -0.67) | 85.73% ( 0.67) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.78% ( 0.06) | 30.22% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( 0.07) | 66.38% ( -0.08) |
Amorebieta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.17% ( -1.71) | 44.82% ( 1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.21% ( -1.4) | 80.79% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Amorebieta |
1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 45.23% | 0-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.49) 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.74% |
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