SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 42.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Cartagena |
42.8% ( -0.02) | 29.8% ( 0.26) | 27.4% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 40.64% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0.86) | 65.93% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.47% ( -0.6) | 84.53% ( 0.6) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.45) | 30.67% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( -0.54) | 66.92% ( 0.54) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.71) | 41.37% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( -0.63) | 77.88% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.39% |
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