Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.68) 
0.24) 
