SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mirandes |
49.63% ( 0.02) | 26.74% ( -0.03) | 23.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.53% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.72% ( 0.13) | 58.28% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% ( 0.1) | 78.91% ( -0.1) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.06) | 23.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% ( 0.09) | 57.67% ( -0.09) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( 0.09) | 40.42% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( 0.08) | 77.03% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.63% |
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